
Mark Thornton Archive
November 18, 2009 9:33 AM
by
Mark Thornton
The CPI rose three tenths of one percent in October and one of the big factors was the rise in used car prices. Used car prices increased 3.4% in October. This is no doubt due to the hundreds of thousands of cars taken off the market and destroyed by the cash for clunkers program. This is good news for those trading in used cars to buy a brand new one, but bad news for those struggling to get basic transportation to get to work.
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November 10, 2009 8:58 AM
by
Mark Thornton
This time it is Reuters.
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October 20, 2009 3:46 PM
by
Mark Thornton
move along please
Bank credit from commercial banks (GRAPH) is a good barometer of the economy. The graph below shows the year-over-year percentage change in commercial credit. A reading of 5% means that commercial credit expanded by 5% over last year at this time. The shaded areas represent official recessions and the graph shows clear and sharp declines as the economy enters a recession. Most recessions bottom with 2-7% increases (over the previous year). This is the first downturn where total commercial credit turned negative. Over the last year or so total commercial credit has declined about 5%. Presumably, the economy will not recover until this statistic bottoms, changes direction, and turns positive for an extended period of time. HT to Chad.
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