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Mises Economics Blog

Theory and History (a seminar)

July 18, 2004 10:56 PM by David J. Heinrich | Other posts by David J. Heinrich | Comments (0)

These notes are from the seminar Theory and History, given at the Mises University. Any errors are mine, feel free to point them out so that I can correct them. This seminar was conducted by Prof. Hoppe and Prof. Hülsmann.


Errors Made by Historians

  • Sequence of events cannot tell us about historical causes.

  • Need some theoretical things not based on historical observations, but on good theories:

    • Should be something you can logically recognize as true when you hear it.
    • Does not need to be, and is not, based on historical observations.

  • Prominent historians often give a sequence of events the wrong explanation. You encounter a multitude of clear misinterpretations of hisotircal events based on poor understanding of economic theories.

Positivist/Maintream

  • Science:

    • Physics.
    • Biology.
    • Chemistry.
    • Experimental physics.

  • History:

    • Individuality of events.
    • Econometrics.
    • Quantitative history.


Austrian

  • Natural sciences:

    • No animism.
    • Objects do not make choices.

  • Human and social sciences:

    • History:
      • Individual/singular.
      • Events that come to bear on a paticular case.
    • Theory: General factors of human action that take place in all times.
      • Praxeology: human action.
      • Economics: human action insofar as it can rely on economic calculation.


An Illustrative Example:

  • The positivist tries to determine if an increase in money supply could result in a decrease in price-levels, accounting for other factors.

  • The Austrian knows that because the money-supply has been increased, prices must be higher than they otherwise would have been, ceteris paribus (that is, if there is inflation, if you increase the money-supply, prices will be higher than they would be without that inflation).
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