1. Skip to navigation
  2. Skip to content
  3. Skip to sidebar
Source link: http://blog.mises.org/7845/inflation-in-one-page/

Inflation in One Page

February 27, 2008 by

Someone asked for handout on inflation to pass out in front of the Fed. This is quick. See what you think. It’s from 1950.;

{ 23 comments }

Ken Zahringer February 27, 2008 at 1:34 pm

That’s a great handout, Jeff. It really gets down to brass tacks. Hmmm, I wonder, do you think I’d get fired if I ran off 1000 copies on the departmental printer? :-)

Jaq Phule February 27, 2008 at 1:53 pm

It’s too intellectual. If you want a one-page flimsy, it would need to be dumbed down a bit. Add some color. A graph or two would do nicely. The author’s name should be more Uhmerikan sounding in order to qualify any level of pathos.

I had an argument over this very topic with my father this weekend. If I tried to hand him this page to show my position, he’d be baffled, and probably tell me off for being a “liberal”.

We got on the subject because he insisted that Nixon was extremely conservative. I fed him Nixon’s “We are all Keynesians now” line — dad’s never heard of Keynes, and has no idea what that means. Dad still believes — insists! — that every dollar produced is backed by gold in Ft. Knox. I have no idea why.

We got on *that* subject because he told me that a vote for Ron Paul would be “throwing my vote away”, and if one person in every district had done so in 1960, we’d have had Nixon in 1961. (My response was, “So what?”)

We got on **that** subject because he thinks the war is a good idea. (Never mind that he dodged the draft, that’s *different*!) He believes this, because he’s met soldiers in the airport, returning from Baghdad, who insist that we’re “needed over there”.

This is the audience you need to reach. I’m not an economist by any stretch of the imagination, but instead I’m one of the few weird mutant freaks who likes to read about economics. Who you need to reach is, well, everybody else. Good luck.

Neal Winkler February 27, 2008 at 4:05 pm

I agree with Jaq, it’s too intellectual to hand out to random people in front of the Fed. Since I just discovered Austrian economics last August, I think I could write a good one page summary of the problem since I’m still able to see things with a layman’s eye. I’m from St. Louis, and I think I might do this when it gets a little warmer.

Henry Clay Du Quesnay February 27, 2008 at 7:07 pm

Yeah, So this sounds like a guy trying to SOUND smart rather someone trying to COMMUNICATE a sound Message. First thing you learn in business writing is “Keep it Simple” Keeping it simple means being Clear and Concise instead of using words like “unremunerative.” Instead – try using “hardly profitable” (even though that is more words, it is clear and concise.) The other thing taught in business writing – to communication, you need a listener – which means if your listener doesn’t understand what you’re saying, then you are MERELY making Noise. People don’t care about things they don’t understand.

Your Constructive Criticist,
Henry Clay DuQuesnay

MatthewM February 27, 2008 at 8:19 pm

It’s far too wordy for a handout.

marxbites February 27, 2008 at 8:31 pm

Inflation is a function of supply and demand.

The more money put into circulation increases demand for goods and ergo reduces their purchasing power.

IE prices don’t go up on goods that remain in steady supply until more dollars worth less chase them.

Ball February 27, 2008 at 10:55 pm

The flyer is far to dry, and doesn’t emphasize the populist aspect of our campaign against inflation.

We should be talking about inflation as a highly regressive “inflation tax.” THAT people can understand. An arrow pointing from a poor man’s pocket to a billionare CEO ought to be emblazened in the middle to make the point at a glance.

Ball February 27, 2008 at 10:58 pm

If you want to quote an economist, how about Rothbard’s “Myster of Banking” in which he uses the analogy of Gabriel doubling everyone’s cash holdings overnight?

Inquisitor February 27, 2008 at 11:00 pm

Too true. Very few people realize that it is a stealth tax.

yumi February 28, 2008 at 3:15 am

Come on, if one page is too much, why bother? Dumbing down would be just that — dumbing down. It’s fine as it is.

Anon from Oz February 28, 2008 at 3:19 am
D.QN February 28, 2008 at 5:19 am

Face it, even if it were reduced to one sentence, “Inflation does not cause higher prices, higher prices are caused BY the inflation” I’d wager nine out of ten people you hand it to would respond, “I don’t get it”.

The lack of understanding of basic economics by “the people” is truly frightening.

David C February 28, 2008 at 6:04 am

D Qn said

Face it, even if it were reduced to one sentence, “Inflation does not cause higher prices, higher prices are caused BY the inflation” I’d wager nine out of ten people you hand it to would respond, “I don’t get it”.

The lack of understanding of basic economics by “the people” is truly frightening.

Quite. The analogy I like to use is this:

‘High prices are to inflation as coughing is to tuberculosis’.

thus, the usual despotic price-control response to inflation ( a la Zimbabwe) is exactly analogous to the health ministry responding to a TB epidemic by forbidding patients to cough.

Ron February 28, 2008 at 8:30 am

Here’s my favorite quick explanation, as provided by DownsizeDC.org. I doubt they’ll mind me posting it here, since they encourage forwarding their emails to everyone I know.

How the FRN (Federal Reserve Note) Monopoly Works

Choice is good because it allows competition. Monopoly is bad because it leads to price fixing. Monopoly control over what people use for money provides the greatest price-fixing power of all, because it impacts ALL of your economic transactions. The Fed can manipulate the price of absolutely everything, by increasing the number of circulating dollars (inflation), or by decreasing them (deflation).

You already know what it means when counterfeiters inflate the money supply. They use their fake money to get something for nothing, taking wealth from others without creating any wealth of their own. It’s a form of stealing. But the long-term consequences of counterfeiting are even worse than the initial theft . . .

If the counterfeit dollars were allowed to stay in the economy, instead of gradually being removed from circulation, the result would be an ever-growing inflation of the money supply. This inflation would trick businesses into making a disastrous mistake.

If you were a widget maker you would see an increased demand for your widgets because of the extra dollars pumped into the economy by the counterfeiters. This sense of increased demand and increased wealth would be the “bubble” (or “boom”) that always follows an inflation of the money supply.

Your widgets would start to fly off the shelves faster than you could make them. You would have to increase prices to maintain inventories and invest in new production to meet the increased demand. But this increased demand would be an illusion, because . . .

Everyone else would raise their prices too, for the same reasons. Rising prices would remove the perception of increased wealth, and soak up the extra spending power created by the counterfeit dollars. This would cause the demand for your widgets to shrink back to its old level, but with a wicked twist . . .

The increased inventories and expanded production capacity you created in response to the inflationary boom would turn out not to be needed. Your widgets would start to gather dust on the shelf and you would have trouble paying your bills. The result?

You would lay-off recently hired employees and close your recently expanded production facilities.

First came the inflationary boom, or bubble, and then the bust, or recession.

Extra FRNs created by the Fed work exactly the same as extra FRNs created by counterfeiters. They allow those who get the dollars first to get something for nothing, followed by a boom, and then a bust.

The Fed has numerous ways to create new FRNs out of thin air. Economists cloud these methods in complicated jargon, and the talking heads on TV make it all sound perfectly normal and even necessary, but the result is exactly the same as with illegal counterfeiting.

The government uses new Fed-created dollars to get something for nothing, paying some of its bills with the new money before the monetary inflation has time to raise prices. You pay the bill later through the resulting price increases and the economic recession that follows. Monetary inflation is simply a hidden tax.

Given the above explanation it should come as no surprise that the greatest boom and bust in American history happened immediately following the Fed’s birth in 1913. Fed inflation put the inflationary “roar” in the “Roaring Twenties” followed by the biggest bust ever, the Great Depression.

All past inflations, booms, and busts were created through essentially the same process, including the recent stock market and housing bubbles. The Fed is simply the government’s latest-and-greatest tool for legalized counterfeiting.

IMHO February 28, 2008 at 10:45 am

@Jeffrey,

I think the handout is well written and an easy read. Thank you!

@the crybabies,

As for those who recommend “dumbing it down” so that people can better understand it…some may find the handout difficult to read because of the continuous downward spiral of educational materials over the past 35 years!

People say, well we should dumb it down just for this instance. I say, stop playing into the hands of the media and the powers that be and buy a dictionary!

Also, instead of being grateful for the fact that Mises exists and that it is one of the most comprehensive websites of its kind, most people do nothing but criticize and complain or ask for additional features without taking into account how much time and money goes into the maintenance of this site.

I’m sorry, but I just hate it when people don’t appreciate other people’s hard work!

Jaq Phule February 28, 2008 at 12:38 pm

IYHO,

I understand it. You understand it. The “crybabies” all understand it.

The majority of folk who frequent this site all understand it.

Who the hell else does? Mises, both the man and the institution, are wonderful — but neither one is having much of an impact on how stuff actually works.

I’ve been reading this site for years. I have yet to see any positive change in public fiscal policy.

When you sit on an intellectual high horse, it’s difficult to reach the rest of the world. They’re too far down beneath your stirrup-straps for notice. And then you complain they keep getting in your way, preventing you from reaching full gallop. Wonder why?

Communication needs to be targeted to be effective. If this paper were intended for *you*, yes, it would be perfect. As a pamphlet to people who walk in front of the FED, it sucks. Think about your Aunt Betty. Lovely lady, isn’t she? — she hosts wonderful garden parties with other ladies of her age who like to lunch. A fine churchgoing lady, who believes that forced universal healthcare is Christianly, and that evil brown-skinned terrorists want to sneak across the border to blow up her hibiscus garden.

Would Mises’ fine pamphlet gain any traction with Aunt Betty?

Who’s more likely to walk by any one of the FED offices and collect a pamphlet? You, or Aunt Betty?

Yes, it’s difficult to understand for the majority of folk who attended public school in the last — I’d say at least 45 years, given my own parents’ orientation. Do you then reach these people by giving them a work beyond their ability to comprehend? This is insulting! Aunt Betty — who you know is a septugenarian — would be offended if you told her she needs to go back to high school! Mr. Huckabee is such a nice young man, she doesn’t have time to listen to you ramble on about how money shouldn’t grow. After all, isn’t that what banks are for, to make money GROW?

Suffice to say, Mises didn’t have Aunt Betty in mind in 1950 when he wrote this. He didn’t have to. I wonder if he could have comprehended the existence of your Aunt Betty in 1950.

Is the opposite of “elite”, “delete”? Whatever it is, go thou and do thus.

Keep Mises. His works are the foundation of this school. But just as more people have read and undestood Atlas Shrugged than any work of Aristotle, just as more people have read “Dancing Wu-Li Masters” than anything Einstein wrote, and just as more people watch “Dancing with the Stars” than have watched real dance competitions on PBS — you have to judge your audience and submit the message more effectively.

Target this pamphlet elsewhere.

~Jaq

IMHO February 28, 2008 at 1:33 pm

Jaq,

Twenty-five years ago, I realized I had two options…lower my standards or leave teaching. I tried to fight back, because I knew that intellectually our country was in a race to the bottom and rapidly picking up speed. I wasn’t being an elitist, I was concerned for what would happen to this country if we were to become nothing more than a nation of mindless sheep. But nobody listened, and so I stopped teaching.

Things are worse now than they were back then, and they continue to go downhill. I understand about marketing; but I also understand the importance of taking a stand and saying, “No more!”

Joe February 28, 2008 at 8:07 pm

Jaq-

You are correct. It is more important to teach down to get understanding at first. A few of those who read a simpler handout are more likely to do further research if they understand in the beginning. A tough to understand handout would be like my son’s 3rd grade teacher “refusing” to teach down to the kids and insisting that they understand Advanced Algebra because she understands it today. What is wrong with starting with addition, subtraction, multiplication and division? Not every person who is out there understands advanced economics, but 99% of people understand something if explained in a clear, consise manner. It is not the “principle of the stand” but the “principal of a fair economic system” that needs to be communicated.

Joe

Mike Sproul February 28, 2008 at 8:24 pm

It’s very easy to repeat that price inflation is caused by “more money chasing the same amount of goods.” It’s not so easy to answer questions like “What is money?”, or “Does the issue of checking account dollars have the same effect on prices as issuing more green paper dollars?”, or ” Why does the dollar have any value at all?”

Anyone interested in these questions should learn about the real bills doctrine, and then get ready to learn just how wrong Mises was about money and prices.

Inquisitor February 28, 2008 at 8:45 pm

Yeah, I’m sure it’ll be a shocking experience…

newson March 1, 2008 at 12:05 am

handing out leaflets? boring, done before, doesn’t work. nobody listening, amateurish!

serious campaigners against monetary debasement should study the tactics of the uk punk band “klf” (kopyright liberation foundation: where are you kinselas?). the following bit, which covers their 1,000,000 pound sterling bonfire, is from this link http://www.firstfoot.com/good%20scottish%20pop/klf.htm

“In a bizarre simultaneous sideshow, KLF nailed £1,000,000 of their own money to an art installation. When they dismantled the installtion and returned the million to the Bank of England, pierced with nail-holes, the Bank declared the money unusable and fined the K- Foundation £9000 for damaging it and charged them £500 to print a new million. Who says money isn’t cheap?

Burning £1,000,000

Allegedly, they burnt a million pounds in an abandoned boathouse on Jura, near the village of Ardfin on the 23rd of August 1994.

It took just over an hour for Cauty and Drummond to pile the wads onto the flames and the spectacle was witnessed by a freelance journalist.

This should be balanced against an Omnibus TV documentary on the burning, where the KLF’s bank confirmed that a million pounds in cash had been withdrawn.

Unfortunately, the supporting film also showed a bank statement with a credit transfer of £1,300,000 going into the Foundation’s account just a few days later.”

forget the hand-outs, go for installation art!

newson March 1, 2008 at 12:30 am

ok, if you can’t pony up a million dollars to burn outside the fed, there is another great monetary story with enough drama to at least engage the general public’s interest.

operaton andreas/bernhard/andrew – the nazi operation to destabilize the british war economy by massive counterfeiting. it’s a great yarn, and when it’s ss boss heinrich himmler doing the counterfeiting (instead of ben bernanke), people can latch on the sheer devilishness of it.

there’s a great daily article for mises.org waiting here:
http://www.spiritone.com/~gdy52150/goldp5.html

newson March 1, 2008 at 12:39 am

one final point: klf and the bank of england at least have given us the instrinsic value of 1 million quid – 500 pounds of paper and ink.

Comments on this entry are closed.

Previous post:

Next post: