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Source link: http://blog.mises.org/10052/this-craziness-will-end/

This Craziness Will End

June 2, 2009 by

When President Obama claims that “economists agree” or “economists endorse” his crazed plan for trillion-dollar budget deficits for the next several years, he is referring to a select group of perhaps 100 well-entrenched Keynesian and Chicago school academics who are paid well to fashion theory that benefits the state. This episode is their last hurrah. FULL ARTICLE

{ 32 comments }

John Brock June 2, 2009 at 8:47 am

CW- “When it happens, we may feel like the astronomer who just watched a big meteor veer away from the earth.”

I just hope that the meteor actually misses the earth. At this point, I am not so confident it will. I appreciate your optimism. I am not a cynic. I just do not like such large meteors.

Here’s a quatrain for everyone’s enjoyment. Decipher it as you will:

The sand overwhelms, as 2 try to tame it
The one grows frustrated, alienation rains.
Worth is reduced as they battle.
Goods become scarce, riches diminish.

2nd Amendment June 2, 2009 at 9:19 am

I would hate studying in economics, It would feel like I would study astrology or religion. Those are not real knowledges, just made up stuff.

From an individual or even a private business standpoint, there isn’t very much to say about economics.

Produce at the most optimal cost to quality possible and live within your means.

Really, economics is not a real science. You don’t need a Ph.D. in economics to manage money and to know that you must save and live within your means and to know how to invest etc.

Economics is really a “science” because governments try to manage economy as a whole, then it becomes a complicated muddy maze of macro-economics.

But at the individual level, there is not much to say.

I feel that economics is bullshit and I would rather study real science like math and physics.

Alex June 2, 2009 at 10:24 am

2nd Amendment

Economics involves two aspects: understanding factual economic concepts and institutional relationships (things like what is money, how does banking and central banking operate, how is money created, why each dollar of government spending means a dollar of taxes, how comparative advantage works, what do various balance of payments concepts mean, how do futures markets operate, what is output, what is income, what is the meaning of financial statements and how are they created, what do various concepts of cost mean, etc., etc.). None of these sorts of things involve any theory. But few people (voters), unfortunately, understand them and, because they don’t, can be bamboozled by politicians.

The second aspect of economics involves causal theory (what causes what to happen). What causes price increases, what causes unemployment, what causes interest rates to rise and fall, what causes economic growth, what causes increases in material standards of living, etc., etc. Of course, causal economic analysis also involves understanding economic factual concepts and institutional aspects.

There are no disputes about the first aspect I outlined above, but, there are disputes about the causal analysis. Nevertheless, it is important for people’s material welfare to understand both aspects. That’s why economics is an important subject in my view. Because a lot of people have a weak understanding of even the first aspect of economics it is easy for politicians to sell really bad economic arguments that harm people. For example: if prices are rising too high for some people, the solution is to simply outlaw price increases; if some people’s wages are too low, simply enact minimum wage laws; if some big companies are failing, simply use taxes to bail them out; if cars use too much gasoline simply force people to use government subsidized ethanol or simply force car companies to make cars that go 30 miles to the gallon (heck, why not 60 mpg?); if there is a large trade deficit (if too many American jobs are exported overseas), simply put big tariffs on imports; etc., etc.

lorenzo monteverdi June 2, 2009 at 12:03 pm

How austrian explain northern europe economies?Low inflation,low unemployment,national health insurance,high taxation,high living standard?

Eric June 2, 2009 at 12:48 pm

I think another good analogy to the 100 court economists mentioned in the article would be the prior century witch trials. Here we saw people in power remaining in power by keeping the population in fear.

Our current inquisition has several bogey men to slay. They steal your wealth or the economic consequences will be worse than you could ever imagine. Somewhat older and stale wars on drugs and terrorism are giving way to fears of economic and climate disasters.

And the government controlled schools now have a whole slew of wasted (sexual orientation, gender, and racial) study programs to go along with alchemist economics programs. They finally have turned lead into gold, only they use paper and electronic bits today.

And don’t think those astronomers aren’t trying to get in on the game – after all, there really is a chance that another life extinguishing meteor is about to hit the earth. So, hand over your wealth so we can build a state of the art asteroid deflector system.

Eric June 2, 2009 at 1:17 pm

lorenzo

You use the words low and high. These are relative words. What are you comparing them to?

Low inflation to an Austrian would mean prices dropping each year from increased productivity Consider the computer industry, which has had relatively little intervention – you don’t need a government license to create chips or software. Now compare that to the cost of medical care – which even with all the benefits of low cost computer technology, still has rising prices.

Low unemployment? Really? Compared to what?

National Health Insurance with 6 months waiting to get an MRI? You can get all the free care you want, provided you live long enough to get to the front of the line.

You need to look at both what is seen and what is not seen. It’s quite hard to prove what it could be like if we had a true free market economy. Everything you buy might be priced like computers. Think if cars, food, energy, etc. all were dropping in price and gaining in quality like computers.

Of course even computer technology is beginning to suffer, from all the interference from patent and anti-trust efforts. So, one day soon we won’t be able to point to this one area of relative freedom.

dewind June 2, 2009 at 3:00 pm

No, no, no. Silly simpleton. 1921 and 1982 were both economic flukes. Only by sheer luck did America avert economic disaster by not allowing government to meddle with it.

The perpetual motion machine could have stopped!

Jonathan Finegold Catalán June 2, 2009 at 4:03 pm

This is a very bright outlook of the future, but unfortunate I don’t feel that this was the result of Roosevelt’s New Deal. In fact, not soon thereafter we had Bretton Woods.

I’m not sure we can have such a positive outlook of our future.

Mark June 2, 2009 at 4:20 pm

It seems the only ones prudent enough to care for our country’s finances are the chinese. Neither the voters nor politicians do. In yet another about-face, Obama claims to be a deficit hawk, and they sent Pelosi and Timmy over there to beg forbearance and continued lending.

I am arranging my finances to around expected high inflation. Not as smart as the chinese I guess.

Mark June 2, 2009 at 4:21 pm

PS. Are they going to be sending Krugman over there? He seems to be off-message vis-a-vis our lenders these days.

Bruce Koerber June 2, 2009 at 6:07 pm

Divine Microeconomy Consulting
Monday, June 01, 2009

Why Are Anti-Capitalists Against Profit?

It all stems from a misunderstanding of usury. Usury was maligned as ‘unproductive’ but that was because of economic ignorance and the same economic ignorance continues today.

Usury, or the charging of interest, is nothing more than an exchange of a present good for a future good. Which do you prefer: $100 now or $105 a year from now? How much would you be willing to accept one year from now instead of $100 today? The point is: all humans have a time preference, they prefer things now over the same thing in the future.

So to be on equal ground, to be able to compare values, the present value of future goods needs to be compared to the value of the present good. Charging interest is simply the cost associated with paying the lender back in full sometime in the future.

Capital as a resource is nothing more than borrowing what is needed to hire the productive resources now even though it will be sometime in the future before there is any revenue. The profit is the equivalent of full compensation for all of the resources needed in the production process, including the human resources of the entrepreneur and the ones who provide the capital. Without the entrepreneur and the capitalist none of the other factors (land and labor) would have received their incomes.

Profit is maligned and capital is maligned and usury has been maligned all because of economic ignorance. It is this ignorance that underlies socialism.

damocles June 2, 2009 at 9:33 pm

Is it economic growth when you build houses that no one wants, that are left to decay; or when you hire government bureaucrats to “regulate” and discourage business activity, or to shuffle papers.? According to our method of calculating GDP, it is; kind of like the old Soviet Union.

Mark June 2, 2009 at 10:14 pm

I think a fundamental tenet of austrian theory is the notion that there can be mal-investment when govt interferes with market forces. Though the gdp measure is simply a measure of overall activity without any way of evaluation how useful it is.

For instance, if a govt were to go into the auto business and make extremely expensive cars which are purportedly better for the environment but which nobody wants…. Never mind, I need to think of a more plausible scenario–that’s crazy talk. ;)

Peter June 2, 2009 at 10:34 pm

Think if cars, food, energy, etc. all were dropping in price and gaining in quality like computers.

“You could buy a Rolls Royce for 1 cent and get 700 miles to the gallon”

gene June 2, 2009 at 11:40 pm

“Without the entrepreneur and the capitalist none of the other factors (land and labor) would have received their incomes.”

Hi Bruce,
where might this mystical “capital” and profit you speak of originate from? Are they perhaps god himself? It is just as ignorant to misunderstand the “nature” of capital and profit than it is to “malign” it.

It may help to think of basic agriculture and the nature of surplus. not much there without the labor and land. capital itself has little taste and nutrition.

Florian Kren June 3, 2009 at 4:48 am

The article claims, that a papal bulle threaten all rulers with excommunication if they raised new taxes.

Can someone confirm this?

I only found that new church taxes were prohibited, which is something different from resticting the rulers.

Current June 3, 2009 at 7:18 am

Bruce Koerber and Gene make good points…

Without the capitalist it is quite possible to have an economy. Workers must tolerate the waiting required to buy capital equipment directly without debt. What capitalists provide is a means of doing that sooner.

Entrepreneurs are different, and it depends on how entrepreneurship is defined. If you take it though to mean any attempt to build a new and unique business then it is not strictly necessary. Though it is clearly beneficial.

This is explained quite clearly in “Man, Economy and State” I think.

fundamentalist June 3, 2009 at 8:01 am

current: “Workers must tolerate the waiting required to buy capital equipment directly without debt.”

So how do the workers “tolerate” the waiting? They must have savings (capital) to live on until they can buy the equipment, plus they need more savings (capital) in order to buy the equipment without debt. Unless they’re already rich, in which case they would be capitalists, that will be impossible.

Current June 3, 2009 at 8:27 am

Well, that’s my point. Workers must save and buy equipment without debt.

Rothbard writes in Chapter 5 of ME&S “In the case of joint ownership, then, there does not arise any separate class of owners of capital goods. All the capital goods produced are jointly owned by the owners of the producing land and labor factors; the capital goods of the next lower order are owned by the owners of the land and labor factors at the next lower stage along with the previously co-operating owners, etc. In sum, the entire capital-goods structure engaged in any line of production is jointly owned by the owners of land and labor. And the income gained from the final sale of the product to the consumers accrues only to the owners of land and labor; there is no separate group of owners of capital goods to whom income accrues.”

John Brock June 3, 2009 at 8:32 am

I agree, Economics is a science. However, as time goes on and we approach problems with various solutions, it is becoming in my opinion, more clinical based on the body of knowledge that is building up as a result of trial, error and observation.

I also agree in principle that at the household level, the science of economics will never demand the level of understanding by individuals that it does at the corporate, local, city, state and federal government levels.

Home economics is in my opinion a completely seperate animal. It is a mix of understanding money, capital allocation, resource allocation, investment risks, human behavior, risk and rewards and many other “components” of various disciplines/principles. The most important of which is human behavior. I am not even sure that home economics should be included in the definition of microeconomics or that it should even be called home economics in the first place.

When i look at all the various disciplines and other variables that go into a households management of money, the term “home economics” or “microeconomics” just does not seem to fit.

fundamentalist June 3, 2009 at 9:27 am

current: “Workers must save and buy equipment without debt.”

That makes them capitalists. So it is not possible to have a market economy without capitalists.

Current June 3, 2009 at 9:56 am

fundamentalist: “That makes them capitalists. So it is not possible to have a market economy without capitalists.”

Not really, it means that they provide the capital equipment themselves.

This is a tricky point. Some use the word “capitalist” to mean an individual who lives from income derived from investments.

Some consider “capitalist” to refer to a role played. So, the same person may act as a capitalist, a worker and a landlord. Often this is the case in practice.

The first sort of capitalists may not occur. The capitalist role however is essential.

gene June 3, 2009 at 10:14 am

Basically, any type of economy can exist without capital [besides capitalism!]. Workers work and exchange to sustain. Consumption is king. Saving is possible for consumption.

You must have a sustainence economy before capital can be produced and it is produced by land and labor. Capital “amplifies”, it cannot of itself produce.

Wage and resource are paid from the product, not capital. If they were paid from capital, it would quickly extinguish itself, there would be no reason for interest and it would never be necessary to repay a “loan”, which is almost always a capital product.

Capital makes things easier when it is allowed to go wherever it wants to go. when it is counterfeited and directed and forcibly concentrated, we have what we have today, a big mess.

Current June 3, 2009 at 10:49 am

This always happens when folks discuss capital. The word is so vague it confuses everything.

We must differentiate between various things. There is “capital equipment”. This includes things such as machines used to build cars and stocks such as car parts. The “higher orders” of goods.

There are stocks and bonds, which are titles to businesses and debts. And there is money.

Lastly, there are stocks of consumer goods which can be used to facilitate the construction of capital. A “surplus”.

It is this last set of goods that allow businesses and capital equipment to be constructed.

Folks here aren’t really disagreeing with each other much, it’s just a matter of terms.

fundamentalist June 3, 2009 at 11:11 am

Current, you’re correct about the differenct uses of capital. But what ties all of those uses of the term together is savings. Capital of any kind cannot exist without previous savings. Every society has some capital. Even the primitive tribes in the Papua New Guinea have some capital. Savings are necessary for them to take the time off from hunting/gathering/farming in order to have the food necessary to build houses and perform lengthy religious ceremonies that last for days.

Savings are necessary for any kind of development because it takes time to build the equipment necessary for greater production of goods. If the workers don’t save, then they must borrow the savings of others.

The form that capital takes doesn’t really matter. It could be machines, stocks, bonds, consumer goods, but the thing they all have in common is that they cannot exist without someone saving (not consuming) something.

Current June 3, 2009 at 11:16 am

Yes, fundamentalist, I agree with you there.

Alex June 3, 2009 at 12:20 pm

Real capital consists of previously produced consumer goods and goods, or previously produced goods that can be used to produce other goods or services. Financial capital represents title to funds used to finance real capital.

Then there is intellectual capital consisting of learned skills and information that are useful in the production of goods and services.

Current June 3, 2009 at 1:17 pm

With the exception of money financial capital represents claims to to the other sorts of capital.

gene June 3, 2009 at 1:28 pm

yes, I agree with you all.

I think capital is any kind of surplus that is not used for consumption but used for future production.

of course, you could argue that everything is eventually consumed!

and fundamentalist is right that saving must occur first although you can save for consumption also, again definition and terms.

Bruce Koerber June 3, 2009 at 5:37 pm

Divine Economy Consulting
Wednesday, June 03, 2009

Capital Is A Vital Element Of The Economy.

Beyond the narrow definitions of capital, this is what we know:

Capital is the most limiting factor in the economy.

Capital is the key to transformation.

By considering these it becomes evident that understanding capital (so definitions need to be accurate) is an indicator of whether economics is understood.

Justin Garrett June 3, 2009 at 8:07 pm

Did the Fed actually bail out LTCM? I was under the impression that the head of the New York Fed gathered together the hedge fund’s creditors and told them they needed to find a way to calmly take it over lest it bring them all down. That’s not exactly a bailout.

gene June 7, 2009 at 7:24 pm

Hi Bruce,

“Capital is the most limiting factor in the economy.”

you would have to mean besides land and labor? there can be an economy without capital, there is no economy without land or labor.

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